Despite the worst economic decline since the Great Depression, wives and girlfriends will still expect gifts this holiday season. If you really want that threesome you’ve been wishing for all year, you better come up with something really good (read expensive). How does an underemployed, underpaid office drone afford that perfect gift? Sports gambling. The NFL season is in full swing and we’ve had eight weeks to distinguish the teams who’ve got it (Saints, Patriots, Colts, Steelers) and the ones who are sinking fast (looking at you Jets and Giants).
DALLAS -3 at Green Bay
Yeah, so did anyone see the Sunday night game, where Dallas beat the Eagles 20-16? How about the game Sunday afternoon when Green Bay lost to Tampa Bay 38-28? Tampa Bay sucks-there’s no question about it. They have a rookie quarterback making his second start ever and a defense that gave up 170 rushing yards to the Packers. Marion Barber, Felix Jones and Tashard Choice lead the league in combined yards per rush. Do the math, lay the points (up to 5) and count your winnings.
Denver is coming off a fourteen-point Monday night loss to the Steelers and a huge loss to the Ravens. Despite these recent setbacks, this is still a solid team with one of the best defensive backfields money can buy and a top five wide receiver in Brandon Marshall. Denver’s weakness is run defense, but Washington RB Clinton Portis is doubtful for Sunday’s game with a concussion. I would lay up to a touchdown on this one, Denver needs a big win here, and they’ll get it.
NEW ENGLAND +3 at Indianapolis
I’m not too excited about picking three road teams for my first week, but this game is certainly enticing. One of the cardinal rules of sports gambling is that favorites in nationally televised games will lay more points because most people will bet the favorite and the over. Here, we have an undefeated team with a hurting defense that nearly lost to the Texans (they didn’t cover). The Patriots, on the other hand, have improved steadily since losing to Denver five weeks ago. If the Patriots offensive line can keep Dwight Freeney off Tom Brady’s supermodel impregnating junk, the Pats should keep it within a field goal. Take the points here, but don’t go less than a field goal unless Peyton Manning gets swine flu.
For what its worth, last Sunday I was 3-0 (Houston +9, Cincinnati +3, Dallas +3), and I practice what I preach.
Submitted by The Locksmith